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Monthly Archives: December 2008

WAS O’TOOLE ALSO (slightly) OPTIMISTIC. OR WAS OSAMA BIN LADEN JUST LUCKY?

 

 

THE LAGAVULIN DISTILLIERY ON THE ISLAND OF ISLAY, A REVERED SOURCE OF “USIGE BEATHA” OR THE “WATER OF LIFE ”  A LEGENDARY GAELIC TIPPLE THAT IS AN INDISPENSIBLE AID TO ARMCHAIR PHILOSOPHY.

I have always been a student of cause and effect and the rippling waves of consequences that result from often, at first sight, unconnected happenings. Murphys Law states that if anything can go wrong it probably at some time will. O’Toole’s Philosophy carried this thread a stage further when he stated simply that Murphy was an optimist. Did these two perceptive Irishmen actually know something that the best political, financial and economic brains of our age missed?

Lets take an hypothetical scenario, the place is Los Angeles, there is a six lane freeway crossed by a railway viaduct close to the San Andreas Fault, overhead Air Force One is circling to land carrying George W on his farewell tour. On the railway viaduct a maintenance crew are rushing to finsh repairing a broken rail so that trains can run in time for the rush hour. One very tired maintenance man forgets to tighten a vital bolt, an equally tired supervisor neglects to check that this vital bolt is indeed tight.

As a result a rush hour train crossing the viaduct derails and crashes into another heading the opposite way, the sight of this awful mess causes rubbernecking motorists on the freeway below to pile up stopping all traffic in both directions, gridlocking the Metropolis.

Simultaneously, 20,000 feet overhead Air Force One Collides unexpectedly with a flying saucer and falls out of the sky onto the already weakened railway viaduct below causing it to collapse on to the gridlocked freeway. The massive shock wave triggers a major earthquake which in turn creates a huge tsunami which devastates coastal communities around the Pacific Rim. The resulting catrastrophe unleashes a pandemic of cholera due to contaminated drinking water caused by pollution which overwhelms medical emergency services throughout Asia.. This in turn creates a major widespread famine as the supply of food is cut off by the unprecedented devastation that results.

Sounds a bit far fetched? how could a single flying saucer cause such a trail of mayhem over such a vast area?.  Although this bizarre combination of circumstances is highly unlikely it could happen, no one has yet proven, absolutely, that flying saucers do not exist.

Nobody really thought that a bunch of Islamic fundmentalist fanatics would crash passenger jets into the World Trade Centre but they did and the full horror was simultaneouly relayed in glorious technicolour into our living rooms. This triggered an understandable wave of blind patriotism which was soon corrupted by incompetence and ineptitude. This lethal cocktail was given added momentum by breathtaking arrogance in high places, producing the series of kneejerk reactions that set the scene for the long chain of disastrous consequences unfolding today. The Bush administration is encapsulated by the comment “Swagger to stagger in eight years”.

If Global Capitalism were substituted for Air Force One, greed for the flying saucer, the maintenance crew for the financial watchdog, the Banking System for the highway and sub prime lending for the train crash on the viaduct we do have a set of circumstances that has actually created a financial earthquake.

This in turn has triggered a mega tsunami in the form of a looming slump which does threaten to devastate Asia’s tiger economy and the pandemic will be unemployment which may yet trigger famine and insurrection. Will history  judge that even the Irishman O’Toole was on the optimistic side of pessimism as human ingenuity and adaptability is tested to near destruction coping with consequences ongoing and as yet unknown?

If he actually wore them Osama Bin Laden must be sitting in his Cave in the Hindu Cush laughing his socks off at the largely self inflicted state of disarray his enemies appear to be descending into. Who needs terrorists when we are so adept at shooting ourselves in the foot?.  2009 is going to be a very interesting year as this little lot continues to develop and mutate,.

HAVING A GREAT BREAK, THAT BLOODY LAGAVULIN CERTAINLY PUTS THINGS IN PERSPECTIVE, GOD SAVE US FROM INCOMPETENT POLITICIANS, GREEDY BANKERS, BEAN COUNTERS, NIT PICKERS AND JOBSWORTHS IN 2009.

ONE FINAL THOUGHT, JESUS OF NAZARETHS DISCIPLES WERE SIMPLE MEN, SOME WERE FISHERMEN, ONE HAD DOUBTS, BUT THE ONE WHO FINALLY BETRAYED HIM FOR THIRTY PIECES OF SILVER WAS A MONEY LENDER, HAS ANYTHING CHANGED IN 2000 YEARS?.

MOUSEHOLE HARBOUR LIGHTS REFLECT ON THE STILL WATERS, NADELEK LOWEN, KERNOW BYS VYKEN.

WE ARE THERE, AN UNCANNY PEACE HAS DESCENDED ON THE MADHOUSE AS ANOTHER CHRISTMAS CAMPAIGN SUCCESSFULLY CONCLUDES.

 MAN I JUST LOVE CHRISTMAS BUT I WISH I HAD’NT PINCHED THAT TOFFEE!!!

Amidst the serious business of dealing with phones ringing off the wall, delivering impossible requests and juggling potential fuel shortages we were reduced to tears of laughter when Nemo one of the Consols fleet of dogs pinched some toffee and gummed his jaws up. The picture says it all, its little incidents like this that dissipate tension and make the day go quicker, especially when its caught on camera.

We wrapped it all up at about 13:30 with all promises delivered and a healthy start in the ticket rack for monday morning as the Potato Boys look set to start planting the early crop with a vengeance if the dry weather continues.

My last task was to bank the days takings and breathe a deep sigh of relief as another memorable calendar year draws rapidly to a close. While our financial year ends in March the actual turn of the year always seems to be the best time to take stock as we enjoy a hard earned, well deserved break as with the winter solstice on the 21st the days will soon be opening out once more as the new year looms.

Then as usual on Christmas Eve I took some Scillonian scented narcissus, the symbol of renewal, over to St Day Old Churchyard where both my parents are buried in the shadow of the Old Church which was abandoned over fifty years ago. To see the ruin outlined in the weak sunlight was a striking reminder of how the villages fortunes have changed since the mining era when St Day was a hub of commerce adjacent to the then richest square mile on earth.

THE OLD CHURCH AT ST DAY.

Being in a pensive reflective frame of mind the scrunch of my feet on the gravel path of the church as I walked away took me back to Christmas Eve in 1981. Then the scrunch of  hundreds of feet on gravel amplified by the sombre silence of a cold bleak windless day was all that could be heard as we walked away from Paul Church.

Christmas eve is an inauspicious day for a funeral but this one was special as Trevelyan Richards (”Whackers”) the Coxswain of the ill fated Solomon Brown was laid to rest, it was a sombre but but strangely uplifting experience to pay homage to such an unassuming hero who died unquestioningly for what he believed in.

The story of the tragedy has been told often enough but members of that heroic crew were ordinary men who willingly sacrificed themselves to extraordinary circumstances, who touched my life in a very personal way. “Whackers” was a trawler skipper in his day job, a terrific character who personified the ethos of the Lifeboat Service inspiring such trust and confidence that they willingly launched that night into the teeth of the storm against what they knew full well were incredible odds, because there were people in distress.

I also knew Nigel Brockman well, Nigel was the ever cheerful man who worked at Bj Ridge Fish Salesmen and vessel agents in Newlyn which many years later I ended up owning. Nigels son Neil, until recently another legendary Penlee Coxswain was only a youngster that fateful night, he was turned back by Whackers with the heart rending but highly practical injunction that “One from each family is enough on a night like this”.

The crewmember that I knew best was Barrie Torrie who was also  a crew member on the Newlyn beamer SDJ. At that time I was aboard the Stevenson beamer Elizabeth Anne Webster and often used to have lengthy chats with Barrie on the VHF radio while on watch. We were all enjoying a bonanza as the grounds 30 to 40 miles south and west of the Scillies were opening up to beamers seeking (and finding) heavy monk and megrim catches which were then becoming Newlyns staple species.

The sunday before the Penlee tragedy a scud of southeasterly wind had blown us all back to Newlyn, after a lousy run home conditions in the gaps, even at highwater, were very poor as we followed the SDJ into the shelter of the harbour. Having moored up and squared away we were heading up the pier when Barrie and I fell into step and started yarning about the trip and the prospect of the looming Christmas break. At the top of the north pier as we branched to go our separate ways, having agreed that the chances of fine weather were slim Barries parting words were “lets hope we dont have to face this lot again this side of the New Year”, that was the last time we spoke. All the following week it was poor, no boats moved by the weekend it was too late anyway.

On the day of the Penlee tragedy, I, along with a group of friends, had arranged to have a meal in Falmouth, as the day closed in the weather was worsening with a vengeance as yet another deep low raced in. Walking up from the Custom House Quay car park the rain was lashing down and the southerly gale was really starting to hustle. A shiver went down my spine as the thought crossed my mind that anyone out there tonight would be taking a pasting, oblivious to unfolding events twenty miles to the west.

We had a cracking evening when we came out of the warmth about 10:30 the storm was at its peak  on the way home the wind was buffeting our car to a worrying degree as the screaming wind did its worst. Next morning the wind had moderated away and there was watery sunshine that signified the wind had veered to the north west as it usually does as the depression passes through. Mother said something about the Penlee Lifeboat being lost was on the radio news. A phone call confirmed the worst while the radio and TV were reporting the tragedy contiuously as the whole country seemed to shudder with disbelief and collective grief.

Some years later, with my then teenage son we watched a TV documentary that brought the awful events vividly back to life as they broadcast the final message from the Solomon Brown. To my dying day I will be haunted by those crackly last words to Falmouth Coastguards over the radio before the eternal silence that signified her end, apparently so close to success.

 

THE PENLEE CREW WHO WILL NEVER BE FORGOTTEN.

Reflections such as this seem so appropriate at this time as we enjoy the safety, warmth and comfort of home and family.These ordinary men performing extraordinary service to their fellow men without thought of risk or reward put things in perspective and highlight the sheer futility of avarice, consumerism and excess that seems latterly to signify this special time of the year for so many.

Hopefully we are on the home run with 2 1/2 days to go.

 

 Last week saw demand peak as supplies threatened to buckle, thank goodness for our storage which, fortunately, at the beginning was brimfull. Despite this and a fair quantity transported in we ended the week on a wing and a prayer as we waited for the next ship to arrive in Falmouth.

Alls well that ends well I suppose but at my time of life I  could well do without the excitement caused by supplier incompetence. Our usual supplier contact was as it transpires, wisely catching up on some leave, when problems looked like arising his standin suddenly became unavailable. Having allowed Falmouths stock to be raided by strangers we were then informed by those that had allowed this to happen that our Plymouth allocation of heating oil was zero.

 Fortunately knowledge is power, having a phone number that I am not supposed to have proved to be priceless as strings were pulled and fuel was actually sourced from elsewhere, just enough to get by but thats all that mattered. The boat, as predicted arrived on saturday and all is well once more, no one went without but it could have been much more serious as lines of communication were severed which was the soft option, rather than keeping customers such as us fully informed of the situation.

The one thing guaranteed to get my juices flowing was the pathetic bleat that supplies were disrupted “due to unforeseen heavy liftings” this does not wash, a rocket scientist is not required to prophesy the Christmas demand peak as every dime bar in creation leaves ordering til the last possible minute.

We actually ceased promising deliveries before Christmas on thursday but as usual everyone has come up trumps, pulling out every stop to get the big job done, how fortunate I am to have such a cracking team to work with. This is particularly highlighted when the usual suspects who emerge from the woodwork in busy times with unreasonable expectations are dealt with with good humour and invariably helped if it is humanely possible to do so.

Time will tell what the outcome of OPEC’s 2.2mbpd production cuts will be given the palsied state of the market as demand continues to weaken alarmingly. The crunch for us will be in the late spring when heating oil demand slackens but whatever transpires I remain confident that we will get our fair share of whatever is available.

Falling prices will inevitably impinge on oil production and exploration in the marginal fields that a few months ago were attractive prospects. If investment falters to any serious degree it will undoubtedly have consequences on oil prices in the future.

On friday the dollar opened at $1.5427 losing $0.0089 to close at $153.38. Brent crude opened at $42.38 losing $1.88 to close at $40.50.

THANK GOODNESS FOR OUR STORAGE WHICH IS PRICELESS WHEN SUPPLIES ARE TIGHT.