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Monthly Archives: December 2007

Taking stock.

For me Christmas is always the time to take stock of the business even though our financial year runs from April til March the turning of the actual year always seems more significant. The days are lengthening once more which always seems to renew my optimism as we look towards the new year hopefully refeshed by welcome break over the Christmas period.

The past year has been very mixed with many negatives affecting our cost base due to ever more regulation and often insane competition for market share in a stagnant or slightly declining marketplace. Our collective ability to kick seven bells out of each other in a mad scramble to grab market share by being ‘cheaper’ never ceases to amaze me.

My experience dictates that real profitable growth comes from being local and above all being better, this involves commitment, investment and an infrastructure able to cope when the going gets tough. Any company can deliver promptly and ‘cheaply’ when we are all quiet and glad of someting to do. The real test is when the crunch comes, demand races away and lead times start increasing, infrastructure and staff commitment ensure the wheels do not fall off and we are still able to get things done within five working days when others around are quoting  up to 15 working days. This is the time to reaffirm our commitment to those who make us what we are, our loyal core customers whose needs are paramount. At times like this those canny types who shop for the lowest price are pretty low on our list of priorities, This is particularly so when we are actually cheaper than others because our pricing policy is the same throughout the year. This may appear to be commercial suicide, however it works for us.

Last winter was heavy going with incredibly mild weather prevailing throughout followed by a generally wet often windy summer, these are not circumstances guaranteed to send the oil distribution sector into a state of rapture. That said we have to take the rough with the smooth and whether we like it or not work with the material that is available. Father always said “ the backbone is a more effective tool than the wishbone”.

Autumn brought the oil price shock which has made the last quarter very interesting as our customers recoiled in horror at the sustained attack on their collective wallets, this unhappy state of affairs was compounded by the heartless hike in fuel duty imposed to paper over the widening cracks in the economy.

In the midst of all this adversity Consols was presented with an incredible opportunity to grow by acquisition, this has already been explained in previous postings, suffice to say the outcome has propelled us forward in fine fettle ready to hit the ground running in 2008.

The resilience and resourcefulness of the SME Business sector is amazing when judged against the hurdles that must be surmounted on a daily basis. The sheer biodiversity of the sector contrasts so vividly with the bland one size fits all Corporate sector or the dead hand of crass incompetence that has increasingly come to typify Governmental Departments. These pernicious monoliths too numerous to identify individually encapsulate failure on an epic scale exposing in the process the disastrous weaknesses of “Big Government”.

This unfolding disaster is overseen by that most useless, arrogant and self seeking form of human life, the “Politician”. Having collectively reneged on the Police pay deal in a manner that has justifiably enraged the service, they now propose with breathtaking aplomb to award themselves an inflation busting 10% pay increase. This appears to be cynically designed to ensure enhanced pensions for those that expect to lose their seats when they get our collective boots up their fat arses at the next election.

God help us all in the meantime, its too much for me, I am off for a drink, Nadelik Lowen ha Blyden Nowydh Da, Kernow bys vyken.

Almost there.

We are getting very mixed reports with regard to the supply situation nationwide, but speaking to various colleagues some pretty horrendous supply problems have been a daily occurence in many locations. Whatever else may have happened we have been mercifully free of problems on the kerosene front. Our supplier has done us proud at Falmouth and we could not have done much more kerosene volume than we have. Tommorrow (Xmas Eve) should see us wrapped up and out the gate just after mid-day at the end of a very hectic but rewarding campaign. Everyone can then relax until New Years Eve (next monday) having performed over and above the call of duty for the last month.

We have never closed like this before but I am comfortable that we have everything under control and everyone will return with the batteries fully recharged to cope with whatever the rest of the winter throws up. Truck fuel (DERV) has been in short supply this month, Falmouth was raided over a week ago and stocks are not due for replenishment until 9/10th of  January, whilst this is inconvienient for us it is not terminal but it does highlight serious supply chain weaknesses that the refiners ought to be adressing sooner rather than later.

Given the huge demand for all products in the last month prices have been remarkably stable albeit at an historically high level. Given the way they surged ahead during the late summer/autumn period when the flimsiest piece of potentially bad news kept the pot boiling despite actual demand being flat on its back this is a minor miracle.

The government is creaming in the tax revenues presently with the typical 1000 litre domesic delivery yielding over £20 in VAT alone. Add to this the duty hikes on diesel and the North Sea petroleum revenue taxes and the Exchequer really must believe in Father Christmas.

It’s Panto time, bang on cue the wheels fall off.

After a long hard summer period of quiet work when it has often been difficult to justify manning levels when costs are spiralling north the Xmas rush has arrived. You’ve got it folks, the great British public in their infinite wisdom all choose to order oil on the same day. To add a little zest to the mix the wind is easterly, skies are leaden and sultry, its chilly and breezy, the sort of wind that goes through you rather than round you.

The ongoing Buncefield effect ensures that product availability just adequate for normal demand suddenly evaporates simultaneously from various locations as demand predictably surges. The recent storms, having disputed shipping movements over several days, ensures lengthening queues at refinery jetties and inland terminals further compromising the smooth flow of product through the distribution system.

At Falmouth there has been no DERV (road diesel) since last wednesday with little prospect of any this side of the weekend. Plymouth has strictly limited supplies and stock outs at various retail outlets are a daily feature. That said the product that really matters, kerosene is freely available locally in stark contrast to other areas where supplies are at best intermittent. What is in really short supply is time as a result of the European working time directive which effectively limits us to an average 48 hour working week.

Not being heavily involved in the DERV MARKET is a blessing as we are able to concentrate single mindedly on delivering huge volumes of kerosene to our regular loyal customers before the Xmas break which is bearing down on us relentlessly.

We are unable to maintain our normal two working day delivery target being nearer five working days in reality which effectively means anyone ordering tommorow will be pushing their luck before the new year. We have ceased taking orders from ’shoppers’ altogether to concentrate on our core business which gives us so much loyalty throughout the year. This has resulted in a little disgruntlement among that isolated section of consumerism that is convinced that their decision to purchase will influence the Rotterdam marketplace and we are all hanging on coathangers behind the office door eagerly awaiting their summonse.

When I initially commenced this blog I  commented on a web based selling organisation that used local (I feel misguided) oil distributors for third party deliveries at what in reality were suicidal rates. The concept was stunningly simple sidestepping the regulation and costs associated with our work. This was fine during the summer and autumn when we were all quiet. My instincts were basically hostile to this parasitic principle of living off someone else’s massive investment in trucks and staff while assembling a valuable nationwide customer database on the cheap. I predicted that as soon as demand picked up the wheels would come off as distributors suddenly rediscovered an urgent commitment to their own customer base.

Predictably this appears to have happened, obtaining my regular online quote today the projected delivery time was 15/16 working days, not a lot of use if you are freezing and the price was not that great either, I rest my case.